India vs New Zealand Match Prediction, 4th ODI: Who Will Win the Match?

India and New Zealand will meet in the fourth ODI of the five-match series on November 13, 2026, at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui. With India leading the series 2–0, the visitors will look to extend their advantage and secure another victory. New Zealand, meanwhile, will be eager to use home conditions to bounce back and prevent India from taking an unassailable lead.

India started the series with victories in Auckland and Wellington, winning the first ODI by five wickets (DLS method) and the second by four runs (DLS method). However, the third ODI in Hamilton was abandoned due to persistent rain, leaving India with a 2–0 lead rather than a 3–0 advantage.

The fourth match will also bring a leadership change for India, with Shreyas Iyer taking over the captaincy for the final two ODIs. New Zealand will continue under Mitchell Santner and will look to make the most of their home advantage.

Who will win the 4th ODI? India will enter the contest as favourites because of their strong performances in the first two matches, experienced batting lineup and balanced bowling attack. However, New Zealand have enough quality to challenge the visitors, particularly with their pace attack and experienced middle order.

India vs New Zealand 4th ODI Match Details

The fourth ODI will begin at 7:30 AM IST at Bay Oval. India will have an opportunity to secure the five-match series with another victory, while New Zealand must win to keep their hopes of levelling the series alive. Shreyas Iyer will captain India in this match, taking over from Shubman Gill for the final two ODIs.

India vs New Zealand Match Prediction: Who Will Win the 4th ODI?

Prediction: India to win the 4th ODI.

India will have the advantage heading into the fourth ODI because of their performances in the opening two matches. Their batting lineup has demonstrated its ability to handle pressure, while the bowling attack has delivered important breakthroughs at crucial stages.

The change in captaincy will be an interesting aspect of this encounter. Shreyas Iyer’s experience in the middle order will be valuable, particularly against New Zealand’s pace attack. Rohit Sharma and Virat Kohli will also be important players for India, given their experience of playing in New Zealand conditions.

New Zealand, however, cannot be taken lightly. Mitchell Santner’s team will be familiar with Bay Oval and will look to take advantage of the home conditions. The inclusion of Finn Allen and Lockie Ferguson in the squad for the final two matches also gives the hosts additional options.

For this India vs New Zealand Match Prediction, India remain favourites because of their 2–0 series lead, experienced batting order and effective bowling combination. Nevertheless, New Zealand could make the contest competitive if their top order performs well and their fast bowlers exploit the conditions.

Why India Can Win the 4th ODI

• Winning momentum: India have won two of the first three matches, with the third ending without a result. They will enter the fourth ODI with confidence.
• Experienced batting lineup: Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli and Shreyas Iyer provide India with considerable experience in the 50-over format.
• Strong bowling attack: Mohammed Siraj, Arshdeep Singh, Kuldeep Yadav and Axar Patel offer different bowling options.
• Middle-order stability: Ishan Kishan, Ruturaj Gaikwad and Axar Patel can contribute valuable runs and help India recover from difficult situations.
• Effective performances under pressure: India’s close four-run victory in Wellington demonstrated their ability to handle challenging match situations.

Why New Zealand Can Win the 4th ODI

• Home advantage: New Zealand will be familiar with Bay Oval and its playing conditions.
• Fresh squad options: Finn Allen and Lockie Ferguson are among the players added to New Zealand’s squad for the final two ODIs.
• Dangerous batting lineup: Will Young, Finn Allen, Glenn Phillips’ potential replacements and Michael Bracewell’s all-round ability give the hosts attacking options, with Dean Foxcroft and Nick Kelly also available.
• Quality pace attack: Lockie Ferguson, Jacob Duffy, Matt Fisher and Blair Tickner can trouble India’s batters with pace and movement.
• Mitchell Santner’s all-round ability: The New Zealand captain can influence the match through his left-arm spin, batting and tactical decisions.

India vs New Zealand Head-to-Head Record in ODIs

India have historically enjoyed an advantage over New Zealand in ODI cricket. Both teams have played several competitive encounters, including memorable ICC tournament matches and bilateral series.

India’s overall record is stronger, although New Zealand have traditionally been a difficult opponent on their home ground. The hosts will look to use familiar conditions to improve their performance in the remaining matches.

NZ vs IND ODI Head-to-Head Stats

India’s superior overall record provides additional confidence, but New Zealand’s home advantage could make the fourth ODI a competitive encounter.

NZ vs IND Recent Form

India have dominated the ongoing ODI series, winning the first two matches. Their five-wicket victory in Auckland was followed by a close four-run DLS victory in Wellington. The second match was particularly encouraging for India’s bowling unit, with Gurnoor Brar taking four wickets and Axar Patel contributing with important breakthroughs.

The third ODI in Hamilton was abandoned due to rain without a ball being bowled. Consequently, India retained their 2–0 lead heading into the fourth match.

India will look to maintain their winning momentum, while New Zealand must improve their batting performance to challenge the visitors. The powerplay overs and middle-order partnerships could determine the outcome.

India vs New Zealand Pitch Report: Bay Oval, Mount Maunganui

Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui is expected to offer a balanced surface with opportunities for both batters and bowlers. The ground generally allows batters to play their shots once they settle at the crease, although fast bowlers can extract movement and bounce, particularly with the new ball.

The venue has hosted 13 men’s ODI matches, with an average first-innings score of approximately 268 runs. Pace bowlers have historically enjoyed more success than spinners at this ground, making India’s seam attack an important factor in the contest.

Teams chasing have also enjoyed reasonable success at Bay Oval. Therefore, winning the toss and choosing to bowl first could be an option for either captain, depending on the conditions.

Pitch Verdict: Bay Oval is expected to provide a competitive batting surface with some assistance for fast bowlers. A first-innings total of around 270–290 runs could be competitive, although the actual scoring conditions will depend on the weather and pitch on match day.

India vs New Zealand 4th ODI Probable Playing XI

Both teams have announced changes to their squads for the final two matches of the series. Shreyas Iyer will lead India, while Mitchell Santner will continue as New Zealand’s captain.

The following are projected playing combinations based on the available squads. The official playing XIs will be confirmed at the toss.

India Probable Playing XI

1. Rohit Sharma
2. Ruturaj Gaikwad
3. Virat Kohli
4. Shreyas Iyer (C)
5. Tilak Varma
6. Ishan Kishan (WK)
7. Axar Patel
8. Kuldeep Yadav
9. Mohammed Siraj
10. Arshdeep Singh
11. Gurnoor Brar

New Zealand Probable Playing XI

1. Finn Allen
2. Will Young
3. Nick Kelly
4. Dean Foxcroft
5. Michael Bracewell
6. Tim Seifert (WK)
7. Mitchell Santner (C)
8. Lockie Ferguson
9. Jacob Duffy
10. Matt Fisher
11. Blair Tickner

These are predicted combinations rather than confirmed selections. New Zealand could also consider Kristian Clarke and Mitch Hay, while India have options such as Naman Dhir, Auqib Nabi and Yash Thakur. The final selections will depend on player fitness, pitch conditions and team combinations.

Key Players to Watch in NZ vs IND 4th ODI

Rohit Sharma – India

Rohit Sharma will be an important player at the top of India’s batting order. His ability to attack the new ball and build a strong opening partnership could give India an early advantage. His experience of playing in New Zealand conditions will also be valuable against the hosts’ pace attack.

Virat Kohli – India

Virat Kohli’s experience and ability to construct long ODI innings make him one of India’s most important batters. He can anchor the innings after an early wicket and accelerate when required. His performance against New Zealand’s fast bowlers could have a major influence on India’s chances.

Shreyas Iyer – India

Shreyas Iyer will have additional responsibility as India’s captain in the fourth ODI. Apart from leading the team, he will be expected to contribute with the bat in the middle order. His ability to play spin and pace effectively could prove important against New Zealand.

Gurnoor Brar – India

Gurnoor Brar will be one of the Indian bowlers to watch after his impressive performance in Wellington. He claimed four wickets for 30 runs in the second ODI, playing a major role in restricting New Zealand to 134. His ability to use bounce and movement could make him a difficult opponent for the Kiwi batters.

Finn Allen – New Zealand

Finn Allen’s inclusion in the squad for the final two ODIs gives New Zealand an aggressive opening option. His attacking approach can put opposition bowlers under pressure during the powerplay. A quick start from Allen could help the hosts build a competitive total.

Will Young – New Zealand

Will Young will be an important batter for New Zealand. His ability to build partnerships and play longer innings could provide stability at the top of the order. He will need to negotiate India’s new-ball bowlers carefully.

Mitchell Santner – New Zealand

Captain Mitchell Santner will be crucial to New Zealand’s plans. His left-arm spin can help control the middle overs, while his batting provides additional depth. His bowling changes and field placements will also be important against India’s experienced batting lineup.

Lockie Ferguson – New Zealand

Lockie Ferguson’s pace makes him a key bowling option for New Zealand. His ability to generate bounce and trouble batters with short deliveries could be particularly useful against India’s top order. He will be expected to provide early breakthroughs.

NZ vs IND Match Prediction: Final Verdict

India are our predicted winners of the fourth ODI against New Zealand. Their consecutive victories in the first two matches, experienced batting lineup and effective bowling attack give them an advantage heading into the Mount Maunganui encounter.

The addition of Shreyas Iyer as captain for the final two matches will be another interesting development. Players such as Rohit Sharma, Virat Kohli, Axar Patel and Kuldeep Yadav will be important to India’s chances of securing another victory.

However, New Zealand should not be underestimated. The hosts have added players such as Finn Allen and Lockie Ferguson to their squad and will be motivated to make a comeback in front of their home supporters.

Who Will Win the 4th ODI? Our India vs New Zealand Match Prediction favours India to win the fourth ODI and take an unassailable 3–0 lead in the five-match series. Nevertheless, New Zealand could turn the contest around if their top order delivers and their fast bowlers exploit the conditions at Bay Oval.

Predicted Winner: India

FAQs

1. Who will win the New Zealand vs India 4th ODI?

India are our predicted winners because of their 2–0 series lead, experienced batting lineup and balanced bowling attack. However, New Zealand’s home advantage could make the match competitive.

2. When is the NZ vs IND 4th ODI?

The fourth ODI between India and New Zealand will be played on Friday, November 13, 2026. The match will begin at 7:30 AM IST.

3. Where will the New Zealand vs India 4th ODI be played?

The fourth ODI will be played at Bay Oval in Mount Maunganui, New Zealand.

4. Who is the captain of India in the fourth ODI?

Shreyas Iyer will captain India in the fourth ODI. He will take charge for the final two matches of the series.

5. Who is the captain of New Zealand in the fourth ODI?

Mitchell Santner will lead New Zealand in the fourth ODI against India.

6. What is the India vs New Zealand 4th ODI match prediction?

India are our predicted winners of the fourth ODI. Their strong performances in the first two matches and balanced squad give them an advantage over New Zealand.